Politics - HypaForecast

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Politics

Will Kashim Shettima be the APC vice-presidential candidate in 2027?

Will Kashim Shettima be the APC vice-presidential candidate in 2027?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

How Many New Nigerian States Are Created Before 2030?

How Many New Nigerian States Are Created Before 2030?

None

3.96x

One or two

3.96x

Three to five

3.96x

< $1M Vol.

Will the Republican Party control the U.S. House after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the U.S. House after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will Nigeria's 2027 federal budget be signed into law before 1 January 2027?

Will Nigeria's 2027 federal budget be signed into law before 1 January 2027?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will Nigeria pass a constitutional amendment for state police before 2028?

Will Nigeria pass a constitutional amendment for state police before 2028?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will the elected President of Brazil in 2026 be the candidate who wins the most valid votes in the first round?

Will the elected President of Brazil in 2026 be the candidate who wins the most valid votes in the first round?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will the PDP field a 2027 presidential candidate?

Will the PDP field a 2027 presidential candidate?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Which Zone Produces the Senate President of Nigeria's 11th National Assembly?

Which Zone Produces the Senate President of Nigeria's 11th National Assembly?

North-Central

5.94x

North-East

5.94x

North-West

5.94x

< $1M Vol.

How Many Candidates Make the 2027 Presidential Ballot?

How Many Candidates Make the 2027 Presidential Ballot?

Fewer than 10

3.96x

10 to 14

3.96x

15 to 18

3.96x

< $1M Vol.

Will the Labour Party field a 2027 presidential candidate?

Will the Labour Party field a 2027 presidential candidate?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

2027 Nigerian Presidential Election: Voter Turnout

2027 Nigerian Presidential Election: Voter Turnout

Below 25%

4.95x

25% to 30%

4.95x

30% to 35%

4.95x

< $1M Vol.

Will Nigeria's 2028 federal budget be signed into law before 1 January 2028?

Will Nigeria's 2028 federal budget be signed into law before 1 January 2028?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will Tinubu Record More Total Votes in 2027 Than in 2023?

Will Tinubu Record More Total Votes in 2027 Than in 2023?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will the same party control both chambers of Congress after the 2026 U.S. midterm elections?

Will the same party control both chambers of Congress after the 2026 U.S. midterm elections?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will the 2027 presidential election be held on its originally published date?

Will the 2027 presidential election be held on its originally published date?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

How Many States Does the APC Win at the 2027 Governorship Elections?

How Many States Does the APC Win at the 2027 Governorship Elections?

8 or fewer

4.95x

9 to 12

4.95x

13 to 16

4.95x

< $1M Vol.

Will a woman be elected governor of a Nigerian state in 2027?

Will a woman be elected governor of a Nigerian state in 2027?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will the APC hold its 2027 presidential primary before 2027?

Will the APC hold its 2027 presidential primary before 2027?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will INEC register a new political party before the 2027 general election?

Will INEC register a new political party before the 2027 general election?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will Atiku Abubakar appear on the 2027 presidential ballot?

Will Atiku Abubakar appear on the 2027 presidential ballot?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will a former Nigerian state governor be convicted of corruption before 2030?

Will a former Nigerian state governor be convicted of corruption before 2030?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will Peter Obi appear on the 2027 presidential ballot?

Will Peter Obi appear on the 2027 presidential ballot?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will at least 10 women be appointed ministers in Nigeria's cabinet after the 2027 election?

Will at least 10 women be appointed ministers in Nigeria's cabinet after the 2027 election?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran cease to govern by December 31, 2026?

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran cease to govern by December 31, 2026?

Yes

1.98x

No

1.98x

< $1M Vol.