Politics
Will the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R. 3633) be signed into law by December 31, 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM (UTC)Outcome selection Jan 3, 2027, 5:00 AM (UTC)
50%
Live probabilities
- Yes50%
- No50%
Jan 1, 2027
Recent reports contain little direct legislative coverage, though one report notes a setback for the CLARITY legislation as crypto lobbyists shift focus.
- NoPoints toward
A crypto lobby broadened its fight to taxes via a new letter following a reported CLARITY flop.
AI summary of 25 news stories, updated 18 hours ago. It can make mistakes — check the sources.
This market resolves to Yes if H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed by the President into law on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
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