Politics
Will the US government announce the end of its naval blockade on Iranian ships by August 15, 2026?
Resolved: No
At close: Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
Reason: No US announcement ended the blockade between 10 and 15 August 2026. It was reinstated on 14 July and stayed in force into September.
Will the US government announce the end of its naval blockade on Iranian ships by August 15, 2026?
No
Winning positions have been paid out automatically.
- Yes50%
- No50%
Market Resolved
Resolved in accordance with the Event Rules and Rulebook.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a representative of the US government, acting in an official capacity, publicly announces the termination, lifting, or suspension of the US naval blockade on Iranian ships and customers before 11:59 PM ET on August 15, 2026. The announcement must clearly communicate that the US is generally ceasing such blockades, not merely granting limited exemptions. If no such announcement occurs, the market resolves to 'No'.