Not just yes or no. Put a probability on it.
A bag contains ten tokens. Set the chance of drawing an orange token, then reveal one simulated draw. Five rounds. The Brier score averages squared probability errors; lower is better. A short run is noisy, not proof of skill.
No sign-up. No deposit. No cash prizes.
A bag contains ten tokens. Set the chance of drawing an orange token, then reveal one simulated draw. Five rounds. The Brier score averages squared probability errors; lower is better. A short run is noisy, not proof of skill.
The bag contains ten tokens. Choose a probability before revealing one simulated draw and repeat for five rounds. The Brier score averages squared differences between your probabilities and the outcomes; lower is better. A short run can be noisy and does not prove forecasting skill.
No account, download, purchase or deposit is required. The same game, date and content version reproduce the same challenge. Replays are labelled separately from a first attempt in the retained local history. Scores are local, not verified leaderboard results. There are no cash prizes.
